Rebounds

Stats

REB, BLK

Claim

Higher pre-draft rebounds predict more career rebounds and blocks per game.

Test

Drafted players, 1947-2019. Top rebound third n = 132. Bottom rebound third n = 69. Outcomes: career PTS, REB, AST, BLK, and STL per game, and career seasons. Compared inside the same age band (under 19.5, 19.5 to 20.5, 20.5 to 21.5, 21.5 to 22.5, 22.5 and up), height third (cuts at 77 and 81 inches), and pre-draft points third (cuts at 14.7 and 18.4). 7 of 45 bands had at least 5 players on each side.

Result

PTS -0.9 (n.s.) · REB +1.5 (p<0.001) · AST -0.4 (n.s.) · BLK +0.2 (p<0.001) · STL -0.1 (n.s.) · YRS +0.2 (n.s.)

Verdict

Confirmed. Feeds the player model: Yes.

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