The Draft ModelMcDonald's All-American
Stats
PTS, YRS
Claim
A McDonald's All-American honor predicts more career points per game and more career seasons.
Test
Drafted players, 1947-2019. McDonald's All-American n = 533. Not a McDonald's All-American n = 1,691. Outcomes: career PTS, REB, AST, BLK, and STL per game, and career seasons. Compared inside the same age band (under 19.5, 19.5 to 20.5, 20.5 to 21.5, 21.5 to 22.5, 22.5 and up) and height third (cuts at 77 and 80 inches).
Result
PTS +1.2 (p 0.002) · REB +0.3 (n.s.) · AST +0.3 (n.s.) · BLK +0.0 (n.s.) · STL +0.0 (n.s.) · YRS +1.0 (p 0.003)
Verdict
Confirmed. Feeds the player model: Yes.