High school origin

Stats

Claim

High school origin predicts more career points per game than college origin.

Test

Drafted players, 1947-2019. High school n = 32. College n = 190. Outcomes: career PTS, REB, AST, BLK, and STL per game, and career seasons. Compared inside the same age band (under 19.5, 19.5 to 20.5, 20.5 to 21.5, 21.5 to 22.5, 22.5 and up) and height half (cut at 79 inches). 3 of 10 bands had at least 5 players on each side.

Result

PTS +0.5 (n.s.) · REB +0.3 (n.s.) · AST -0.3 (n.s.) · BLK +0.3 (n.s.) · STL +0.0 (n.s.) · YRS +2.8 (n.s.)

Verdict

Not supported. Feeds the player model: No.

All theories