The Draft ModelInternational origin
Stats
No
Claim
International origin predicts fewer career points per game than college origin.
Test
Drafted players, 1947-2019. International n = 184. College n = 2,410. Outcomes: career PTS, REB, AST, BLK, and STL per game, and career seasons. Compared inside the same age band (under 19.5, 19.5 to 20.5, 20.5 to 21.5, 21.5 to 22.5, 22.5 and up) and height third (cuts at 77 and 80 inches). 12 of 15 bands had at least 5 players on each side.
Result
PTS -1.2 (n.s.) · REB -0.6 (n.s.) · AST -0.2 (n.s.) · BLK -0.1 (n.s.) · STL -0.1 (n.s.) · YRS -1.5 (n.s.)
Verdict
Not supported. Feeds the player model: No.