The Draft ModelWeight
Stats
REB
Claim
Greater weight predicts more career rebounds per game.
Test
Drafted players, 1947-2019. Top weight third n = 165. Bottom weight third n = 88. Outcomes: career PTS, REB, AST, BLK, and STL per game, and career seasons. Compared inside the same age band (under 19.5, 19.5 to 20.5, 20.5 to 21.5, 21.5 to 22.5, 22.5 and up), height third (cuts at 77 and 81 inches), and pre-draft points third (cuts at 14.7 and 18.4). 10 of 45 bands had at least 5 players on each side.
Result
PTS -0.7 (n.s.) · REB +1.2 (p<0.001) · AST -0.6 (p 0.014) · BLK +0.1 (n.s.) · STL -0.2 (n.s.) · YRS +1.1 (n.s.)
Verdict
Confirmed. Feeds the player model: Yes.