The Draft ModelGuard height
Stats
REB, BLK
Claim
Among guards, greater height predicts more career rebounds and blocks per game.
Test
Drafted players, 1947-2019. Top guard-height third n = 98. Bottom guard-height third n = 244. Outcomes: career PTS, REB, AST, BLK, and STL per game, and career seasons. Compared inside the same age band (under 19.5, 19.5 to 20.5, 20.5 to 21.5, 21.5 to 22.5, 22.5 and up) and pre-draft points third (cuts at 14.7 and 18.4). 9 of 15 bands had at least 5 players on each side.
Result
PTS +1.0 (n.s.) · REB +0.8 (p<0.001) · AST -1.1 (p<0.001) · BLK +0.2 (p<0.001) · STL +0.0 (n.s.) · YRS +0.6 (n.s.)
Verdict
Confirmed. Feeds the player model: Yes.